A couple of weeks ago at the Republican National Convention, there was a whisper campaign that followers of Ron Paul were going to make a hard push for moving the United States back to the gold standard for our monetary policy. While I’m sympathetic to some of their logic, it’s simply a bad idea.
In 1971, President Nixon removed all ties between the U.S. dollar and gold. For decades before that, the rest of the world promised to fix their exchange rate relative to the U.S. dollar. In return, the U.S. promised to fix the price of gold at $35/ounce. In a way, that implied that all currencies were fixed to gold at $35/ounce.
Why did he do it? Historians argue to this day. Some say he did it because French President Charles De Gaulle forced our hand by trading their currency directly for gold. Others say the high cost of the Vietnam War and the new “Great Society” programs were forcing the U.S. shell out many more dollars than we had gold to back it. There are many more reasons possible still, but I don’t have time in this commentary to outline them all. The question is, does it make sense to go back to the gold standard now?
There are a number of positives that make the idea seem attractive. It would be an immediate guard against inflation. It would also lessen the Federal Reserve’s ability to tinker with the country’s wealth by printing money in any quantity it wants. And finally, it would level the currency playing field, so countries like China can’t just make their own rules.
So why shouldn’t we do all of these positive things? Because if we did, it would be so disruptive to the global financial system, it would make us long for the good old days of 2008. It would do this because the gold standard forces deflation, and that’s the one thing that every economist agrees we don’t want. Deflation crushes debtors. Think about it. If every dollar you pay your bank for your mortgage is worth MORE than the dollar you originally took out, you lose in a big way! And that’s not just for home mortgages, it’s for every business that takes out a loan, or our $16 trillion of national debt. We can’t afford to magnify how much more we owe by deflating our currency.
Also, if we tie ourselves to the gold standard, government would have almost no ability to maneuver in an emergency. Now I at times I think our leaders don’t deserve much flexibility, but at the same time, I don’t want their hands tied during a crisis. How much worse would the aftermath of 9/11 been? How much worse would it have been in 2008 without TARP? QE I, II, and III wouldn’t have been possible on the gold standard.
As a nation, we’re frustrated and scared because of what we’ve been through for the last 12 years. But cooler heads need to prevail and we need to remember there’s no easy solution. The gold standard sounds good, but only time and discipline will fix our current problems.






